Nancy Lacore holds a commanding lead in the SC-01 House race because unofficial results from the November 3 election show her ahead of Jenny Costa Honeycutt by roughly 3,300 votes, or 1.01 percentage points, exceeding South Carolina’s automatic recount threshold. The open seat, previously held by retiring Republican Nancy Mace, saw Lacore, a retired Navy vice admiral, secure a narrow plurality amid reports of a concession email from Honeycutt’s campaign. This outcome aligns with broader midterm shifts favoring Democrats in the district, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Prediction market traders price Lacore at 98.7 percent based on the vote margin and concession signals. Late certification disputes, court challenges to ballot counting, or verified discrepancies in remaining tallies remain the primary factors that could still shift the final result before official resolution.