NVIDIA shares closed October 2 near $233.95 after touching a fresh all-time high of $237.88, propelled by a record $150 billion increase in the share repurchase authorization and Morgan Stanley’s reinstatement of the stock as its top semiconductor pick. Traders are pricing in continued momentum from robust AI infrastructure spending, with fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion (up 106% year-over-year) and Q3 guidance of $108 billion supporting the outlook for roughly 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028. The closely matched probabilities across the $235–$240 band and lower ranges reflect uncertainty around near-term volatility, potential profit-taking after the recent rally, and broader market sensitivity to interest rates or macroeconomic data before the next earnings release in mid-November. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these near-term price thresholds.