Nvidia’s current roughly $5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained artificial intelligence demand and data-center GPU leadership, yet the closely matched probabilities across the $5–6.5 trillion bands for year-end 2026 stem from competing forces. Recent quarterly revenue of $96 billion, up 106% year-over-year, plus CEO guidance for roughly 70% growth and potential doubling of chip units in fiscal 2028, supports upside toward $6 trillion-plus. Offsetting this, hyperscalers continue developing custom AI chips that erode Nvidia’s share, while export curbs limit China access and supply constraints could cap near-term gains. Traders weigh these execution risks against the company’s full-stack software advantage and strong backlog when pricing the narrow outcome spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$5.50-$6.00T 19%
$5.00-$5.50T 18%
$6.00-$6.50T 18%
$6.50T+ 17%
$13,477 ปริมาณ
$13,477 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
6%
$4.00-$4.50T
7%
$4.50-$5.00T
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
18%
$5.50-$6.00T
19%
$6.00-$6.50T
18%
$6.50T+
17%
$5.50-$6.00T 19%
$5.00-$5.50T 18%
$6.00-$6.50T 18%
$6.50T+ 17%
$13,477 ปริมาณ
$13,477 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
$3,033 ปริมาณ
6%
$4.00-$4.50T
$904 ปริมาณ
7%
$4.50-$5.00T
$923 ปริมาณ
15%
$5.00-$5.50T
$2,174 ปริมาณ
18%
$5.50-$6.00T
$3,407 ปริมาณ
19%
$6.00-$6.50T
$1,297 ปริมาณ
18%
$6.50T+
$1,739 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current roughly $5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained artificial intelligence demand and data-center GPU leadership, yet the closely matched probabilities across the $5–6.5 trillion bands for year-end 2026 stem from competing forces. Recent quarterly revenue of $96 billion, up 106% year-over-year, plus CEO guidance for roughly 70% growth and potential doubling of chip units in fiscal 2028, supports upside toward $6 trillion-plus. Offsetting this, hyperscalers continue developing custom AI chips that erode Nvidia’s share, while export curbs limit China access and supply constraints could cap near-term gains. Traders weigh these execution risks against the company’s full-stack software advantage and strong backlog when pricing the narrow outcome spread.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,477วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia’s current roughly $5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained artificial intelligence demand and data-center GPU leadership, yet the closely matched probabilities across the $5–6.5 trillion bands for year-end 2026 stem from competing forces. Recent quarterly revenue of $96 billion, up 106% year-over-year, plus CEO guidance for roughly 70% growth and potential doubling of chip units in fiscal 2028, supports upside toward $6 trillion-plus. Offsetting this, hyperscalers continue developing custom AI chips that erode Nvidia’s share, while export curbs limit China access and supply constraints could cap near-term gains. Traders weigh these execution risks against the company’s full-stack software advantage and strong backlog when pricing the narrow outcome spread.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,477วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia’s current roughly $5.4 trillion market cap reflects sustained artificial intelligence demand and data-center GPU leadership, yet the closely matched probabilities across the $5–6.5 trillion bands for year-end 2026 stem from competing forces. Recent quarterly revenue of $96 billion, up 106% year-over-year, plus CEO guidance for roughly 70% growth and potential doubling of chip units in fiscal 2028, supports upside toward $6 trillion-plus. Offsetting this, hyperscalers continue developing custom AI chips that erode Nvidia’s share, while export curbs limit China access and supply constraints could cap near-term gains. Traders weigh these execution risks against the company’s full-stack software advantage and strong backlog when pricing the narrow outcome spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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