Google's pattern of delayed frontier model launches, including the repeated slips of Gemini 3.5 Pro earlier in 2026, combined with a recent focus on frequent Flash iterations like the 3.8 Flash released September 2, has led traders to price the next Gemini Pro release most heavily in mid-to-late October. The closely matched weekly buckets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines and competitive pressure from rivals advancing agentic and coding capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks point to an imminent September drop, keeping early-week probabilities low while the 23.5% chance of no release by November 1 accounts for possible further refinements ahead of major developer events or year-end updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 20%
September 28–October 4 13.9%
October 26–November 1 12.0%
$46,348 ปริมาณ
$46,348 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
3%
September 14–September 20
4%
September 21–September 27
7%
September 28–October 4
14%
October 5–October 11
16%
October 12–October 18
20%
October 19–October 25
10%
October 26–November 1
14%
No release by November 1
24%
No release by November 1 24%
October 12–October 18 20%
September 28–October 4 13.9%
October 26–November 1 12.0%
$46,348 ปริมาณ
$46,348 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
September 7–September 13
$1,381 ปริมาณ
3%
September 14–September 20
$412 ปริมาณ
4%
September 21–September 27
$549 ปริมาณ
7%
September 28–October 4
$619 ปริมาณ
14%
October 5–October 11
$413 ปริมาณ
16%
October 12–October 18
$2,475 ปริมาณ
20%
October 19–October 25
$438 ปริมาณ
10%
October 26–November 1
$558 ปริมาณ
14%
No release by November 1
$38,210 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's pattern of delayed frontier model launches, including the repeated slips of Gemini 3.5 Pro earlier in 2026, combined with a recent focus on frequent Flash iterations like the 3.8 Flash released September 2, has led traders to price the next Gemini Pro release most heavily in mid-to-late October. The closely matched weekly buckets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines and competitive pressure from rivals advancing agentic and coding capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks point to an imminent September drop, keeping early-week probabilities low while the 23.5% chance of no release by November 1 accounts for possible further refinements ahead of major developer events or year-end updates.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,348วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's pattern of delayed frontier model launches, including the repeated slips of Gemini 3.5 Pro earlier in 2026, combined with a recent focus on frequent Flash iterations like the 3.8 Flash released September 2, has led traders to price the next Gemini Pro release most heavily in mid-to-late October. The closely matched weekly buckets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines and competitive pressure from rivals advancing agentic and coding capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks point to an imminent September drop, keeping early-week probabilities low while the 23.5% chance of no release by November 1 accounts for possible further refinements ahead of major developer events or year-end updates.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,348วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Google's pattern of delayed frontier model launches, including the repeated slips of Gemini 3.5 Pro earlier in 2026, combined with a recent focus on frequent Flash iterations like the 3.8 Flash released September 2, has led traders to price the next Gemini Pro release most heavily in mid-to-late October. The closely matched weekly buckets reflect uncertainty over internal testing timelines and competitive pressure from rivals advancing agentic and coding capabilities. No official announcements or credible leaks point to an imminent September drop, keeping early-week probabilities low while the 23.5% chance of no release by November 1 accounts for possible further refinements ahead of major developer events or year-end updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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