Lee Shu-chuan holds the strongest trader consensus as New Taipei mayor due to unified KMT and TPP backing after Huang Kuo-chang suspended his bid following an April primary, consolidating pan-blue support against DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui in the November 28 local election. Recent campaign activity includes Lee’s infrastructure proposals such as light rail extensions and cross-river bridges, alongside Su’s focus on urban renewal agencies and motorcycle industry upgrades. September street polls in DPP-leaning districts and AI simulations show Lee maintaining a modest lead or close contest, while broader polling trends reflect the city’s competitive partisan balance and high undecided share. Minor independent candidates and Huang remain at negligible implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLee Shu-chuan 74%
Su Chiao-hui 26%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
$25,946 ปริมาณ
$25,946 ปริมาณ

Lee Shu-chuan
74%

Su Chiao-hui
26%

Huang Kuo-chang
<1%
Lee Shu-chuan 74%
Su Chiao-hui 26%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
$25,946 ปริมาณ
$25,946 ปริมาณ

Lee Shu-chuan
74%

Su Chiao-hui
26%

Huang Kuo-chang
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lee Shu-chuan holds the strongest trader consensus as New Taipei mayor due to unified KMT and TPP backing after Huang Kuo-chang suspended his bid following an April primary, consolidating pan-blue support against DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui in the November 28 local election. Recent campaign activity includes Lee’s infrastructure proposals such as light rail extensions and cross-river bridges, alongside Su’s focus on urban renewal agencies and motorcycle industry upgrades. September street polls in DPP-leaning districts and AI simulations show Lee maintaining a modest lead or close contest, while broader polling trends reflect the city’s competitive partisan balance and high undecided share. Minor independent candidates and Huang remain at negligible implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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