Netanyahu's active campaign for Israel's October 27 election underpins the strong trader consensus against any pre-election withdrawal. As Likud leader, he continues public appearances, security-focused messaging, and efforts to consolidate right-wing support amid ongoing scrutiny over the October 7 attacks and coalition polling shortfalls. His history of navigating tight races and potential caretaker roles in fragmented Knesset outcomes reinforces expectations that he will remain on the ballot. No announcements, health reports, or procedural barriers have emerged to suggest otherwise. While a sudden legal ruling, health event, or dramatic polling collapse could theoretically prompt a last-minute decision, the compressed timeline and his consistent positioning make such shifts improbable.
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