United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its status as Russia's dominant ruling party, consistent historical majorities in regional legislative contests, and alignment with federal leadership under President Putin. The three-day vote ending September 20 coincided with national Duma elections where the party led partial counts near 58 percent, while regional turnout reached about 38 percent amid standard procedural conditions. Governor Andrey Chibis, a United Russia member re-elected in 2024 with nearly 74 percent, anchors local support through institutional control and limited competition from registered parties. CPRF and others trail far behind based on past results and structural barriers. Only late anomalies such as verified widespread irregularities or sharp turnout drops could realistically shift the implied probability reflected in trader pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUnited Russia 98.4%
CPRF 2.1%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
98%
CPRF
2%
New People
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 98.4%
CPRF 2.1%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 31, 2027
United Russia
$7,402 ปริมาณ
98%
CPRF
$637 ปริมาณ
2%
New People
$388 ปริมาณ
<1%
LDPR
$371 ปริมาณ
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$385 ปริมาณ
<1%
A Just Russia
$579 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its status as Russia's dominant ruling party, consistent historical majorities in regional legislative contests, and alignment with federal leadership under President Putin. The three-day vote ending September 20 coincided with national Duma elections where the party led partial counts near 58 percent, while regional turnout reached about 38 percent amid standard procedural conditions. Governor Andrey Chibis, a United Russia member re-elected in 2024 with nearly 74 percent, anchors local support through institutional control and limited competition from registered parties. CPRF and others trail far behind based on past results and structural barriers. Only late anomalies such as verified widespread irregularities or sharp turnout drops could realistically shift the implied probability reflected in trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,762วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its status as Russia's dominant ruling party, consistent historical majorities in regional legislative contests, and alignment with federal leadership under President Putin. The three-day vote ending September 20 coincided with national Duma elections where the party led partial counts near 58 percent, while regional turnout reached about 38 percent amid standard procedural conditions. Governor Andrey Chibis, a United Russia member re-elected in 2024 with nearly 74 percent, anchors local support through institutional control and limited competition from registered parties. CPRF and others trail far behind based on past results and structural barriers. Only late anomalies such as verified widespread irregularities or sharp turnout drops could realistically shift the implied probability reflected in trader pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Murmansk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Murmansk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Murmansk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Murmansk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Murmansk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,762วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding lead in the Murmansk Oblast Duma election market due to its status as Russia's dominant ruling party, consistent historical majorities in regional legislative contests, and alignment with federal leadership under President Putin. The three-day vote ending September 20 coincided with national Duma elections where the party led partial counts near 58 percent, while regional turnout reached about 38 percent amid standard procedural conditions. Governor Andrey Chibis, a United Russia member re-elected in 2024 with nearly 74 percent, anchors local support through institutional control and limited competition from registered parties. CPRF and others trail far behind based on past results and structural barriers. Only late anomalies such as verified widespread irregularities or sharp turnout drops could realistically shift the implied probability reflected in trader pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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