Recent model runs show significant divergence for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 12, with some guidance indicating a possible cool-air intrusion from a passing disturbance or typhoon remnant that could drop overnight lows toward 21°C or below, while others maintain strong subtropical high influence supporting readings near or above 31°C. In Taipei’s subtropical basin setting during peak typhoon season, steering flows, moisture convergence, and orographic effects can rapidly alter boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, creating the observed near-even split in trader-implied odds between the cooler and hotter thresholds. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 24–25°C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour updates from regional forecast centers tracking any westward-moving systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Taipei on September 12?
21°C or below 99%
31°C or higher 98%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
21°C or below
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C or higher
98%
21°C or below 99%
31°C or higher 98%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
21°C or below
99%
22°C
39%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C
39%
30°C
40%
31°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show significant divergence for Taipei’s minimum temperature on September 12, with some guidance indicating a possible cool-air intrusion from a passing disturbance or typhoon remnant that could drop overnight lows toward 21°C or below, while others maintain strong subtropical high influence supporting readings near or above 31°C. In Taipei’s subtropical basin setting during peak typhoon season, steering flows, moisture convergence, and orographic effects can rapidly alter boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, creating the observed near-even split in trader-implied odds between the cooler and hotter thresholds. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 24–25°C, so resolution hinges on the next 48-hour updates from regional forecast centers tracking any westward-moving systems.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย