Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a daily minimum temperature in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 13, driven by persistent rain, southerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average low of 53.5°F, with guidance showing overnight lows near 54–57°F amid a frontal system. Trader positioning, led by the 66°F-or-higher bin, appears to reflect uncertainty around exact timing of clearing or slight model spread favoring milder air, while lower bins capture risks of brief radiational cooling if precipitation ends earlier than expected. Upcoming hourly observations and any revised model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seattle on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 13?
66°F or higher 94%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 40%
54-55°F 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
47°F or below
12%
48-49°F
22%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
36%
56-57°F
28%
58-59°F
40%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
10%
66°F or higher
94%
66°F or higher 94%
58-59°F 40%
60-61°F 40%
54-55°F 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
47°F or below
$59 ปริมาณ
12%
48-49°F
$32 ปริมาณ
22%
50-51°F
$49 ปริมาณ
22%
52-53°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
54-55°F
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
56-57°F
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
66°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a daily minimum temperature in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 13, driven by persistent rain, southerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average low of 53.5°F, with guidance showing overnight lows near 54–57°F amid a frontal system. Trader positioning, led by the 66°F-or-higher bin, appears to reflect uncertainty around exact timing of clearing or slight model spread favoring milder air, while lower bins capture risks of brief radiational cooling if precipitation ends earlier than expected. Upcoming hourly observations and any revised model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a daily minimum temperature in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 13, driven by persistent rain, southerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average low of 53.5°F, with guidance showing overnight lows near 54–57°F amid a frontal system. Trader positioning, led by the 66°F-or-higher bin, appears to reflect uncertainty around exact timing of clearing or slight model spread favoring milder air, while lower bins capture risks of brief radiational cooling if precipitation ends earlier than expected. Upcoming hourly observations and any revised model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$141วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a daily minimum temperature in the mid-50s for Seattle on September 13, driven by persistent rain, southerly winds, and extensive cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. These conditions have kept temperatures above the 1991–2020 average low of 53.5°F, with guidance showing overnight lows near 54–57°F amid a frontal system. Trader positioning, led by the 66°F-or-higher bin, appears to reflect uncertainty around exact timing of clearing or slight model spread favoring milder air, while lower bins capture risks of brief radiational cooling if precipitation ends earlier than expected. Upcoming hourly observations and any revised model runs will likely refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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