**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the lowest temperature in Milan on September 10, 2026, will most likely fall in the 15–17°C range, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities (roughly 46–48.5% for 14–16°C outcomes).** A weather perturbation crossing northern Italy has driven an approximately 8°C cooling from prior days' highs near 25–30°C, bringing widespread cloud cover, light-to-moderate rain or thunderstorms, and easterly/northeasterly winds. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air, keeping overnight and early-morning minima elevated compared with clear-sky scenarios but still several degrees below recent averages. Model consensus points to early-morning lows near 16–17°C under persistent low clouds and light precipitation, with some runs showing brief dips toward 15°C or 14°C where heavier showers enhance evaporative cooling. Historical September climatology for Milan shows typical overnight lows around 15–17°C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Key remaining uncertainties include the exact timing and intensity of rainfall and any localized wind shifts, which traders are weighing via the latest official guidance and ensemble outputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Milan on September 10?
12°C or below 78%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
14°C 47%
12°C or below
78%
13°C
18%
14°C
47%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
12°C or below 78%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
14°C 47%
12°C or below
78%
13°C
18%
14°C
47%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the lowest temperature in Milan on September 10, 2026, will most likely fall in the 15–17°C range, consistent with the closely matched market probabilities (roughly 46–48.5% for 14–16°C outcomes).** A weather perturbation crossing northern Italy has driven an approximately 8°C cooling from prior days' highs near 25–30°C, bringing widespread cloud cover, light-to-moderate rain or thunderstorms, and easterly/northeasterly winds. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while advecting cooler maritime air, keeping overnight and early-morning minima elevated compared with clear-sky scenarios but still several degrees below recent averages. Model consensus points to early-morning lows near 16–17°C under persistent low clouds and light precipitation, with some runs showing brief dips toward 15°C or 14°C where heavier showers enhance evaporative cooling. Historical September climatology for Milan shows typical overnight lows around 15–17°C, so current conditions align closely with seasonal norms rather than extremes. Key remaining uncertainties include the exact timing and intensity of rainfall and any localized wind shifts, which traders are weighing via the latest official guidance and ensemble outputs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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