Current forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 10 holding near 14–15 °C under persistent southerly flow and extensive low cloud. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, with dew points around 12–13 °C and 15–20 km/h winds maintaining a shallow marine boundary layer. September climatology places average minima near 10–11 °C, but the month’s anomalous warmth and absence of a strong cold front keep today’s readings elevated. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14 °C versus lower outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact model runs and local urban-heat or airport-site measurement differences, with any late-model cooling shift potentially tipping the recorded low by 1 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
14°C 93%
9°C or below 87%
12°C 34%
10°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
87%
10°C
16%
11°C
<1%
12°C
34%
13°C
42%
14°C
93%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 93%
9°C or below 87%
12°C 34%
10°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$35 ปริมาณ
87%
10°C
$35 ปริมาณ
16%
11°C
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$8 ปริมาณ
34%
13°C
$11 ปริมาณ
42%
14°C
$5 ปริมาณ
93%
15°C
$254 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$391 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$82 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 10 holding near 14–15 °C under persistent southerly flow and extensive low cloud. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, with dew points around 12–13 °C and 15–20 km/h winds maintaining a shallow marine boundary layer. September climatology places average minima near 10–11 °C, but the month’s anomalous warmth and absence of a strong cold front keep today’s readings elevated. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14 °C versus lower outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact model runs and local urban-heat or airport-site measurement differences, with any late-model cooling shift potentially tipping the recorded low by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$952วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 10 holding near 14–15 °C under persistent southerly flow and extensive low cloud. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, with dew points around 12–13 °C and 15–20 km/h winds maintaining a shallow marine boundary layer. September climatology places average minima near 10–11 °C, but the month’s anomalous warmth and absence of a strong cold front keep today’s readings elevated. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14 °C versus lower outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact model runs and local urban-heat or airport-site measurement differences, with any late-model cooling shift potentially tipping the recorded low by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$952วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles show Cape Town’s minimum temperature on September 10 holding near 14–15 °C under persistent southerly flow and extensive low cloud. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, with dew points around 12–13 °C and 15–20 km/h winds maintaining a shallow marine boundary layer. September climatology places average minima near 10–11 °C, but the month’s anomalous warmth and absence of a strong cold front keep today’s readings elevated. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 13–14 °C versus lower outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact model runs and local urban-heat or airport-site measurement differences, with any late-model cooling shift potentially tipping the recorded low by 1 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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