Recent forecast model consensus, including GFS outputs, indicates a minimum overnight temperature near 9°C in Amsterdam under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points supporting radiative cooling. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward autumn, where average lows hover around 11°C but current stable high pressure and modest moisture levels favor a dip to the 9°C threshold without extreme cold advection. Official measurements from stations such as Schiphol will resolve the market, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or localized fog could push the exact low 1–2°C higher. Trader positioning at 94% for 9°C reflects this evidence-based convergence ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?
6°C or below 27%
7°C 7.6%
8°C 3%
10°C <1%
6°C or below
27%
7°C
8%
8°C
3%
9°C
64%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
6°C or below 27%
7°C 7.6%
8°C 3%
10°C <1%
6°C or below
27%
7°C
8%
8°C
3%
9°C
64%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus, including GFS outputs, indicates a minimum overnight temperature near 9°C in Amsterdam under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points supporting radiative cooling. This aligns with the seasonal transition toward autumn, where average lows hover around 11°C but current stable high pressure and modest moisture levels favor a dip to the 9°C threshold without extreme cold advection. Official measurements from stations such as Schiphol will resolve the market, though small revisions in boundary-layer mixing or localized fog could push the exact low 1–2°C higher. Trader positioning at 94% for 9°C reflects this evidence-based convergence ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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