As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution and arrest except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, remain suspended during his term, with trials postponed by the Seoul High Court. Recent developments, such as police dismissal of related complaints and legislative discussions on indictment handling, have not produced active warrants or proceedings that could override immunity. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no arrest before 2027 reflects these structural barriers and the absence of qualifying charges or political moves capable of triggering detention within the short timeframe.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8% โอกาส
$548,061 ปริมาณ
$548,061 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
8% โอกาส
$548,061 ปริมาณ
$548,061 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution and arrest except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, remain suspended during his term, with trials postponed by the Seoul High Court. Recent developments, such as police dismissal of related complaints and legislative discussions on indictment handling, have not produced active warrants or proceedings that could override immunity. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no arrest before 2027 reflects these structural barriers and the absence of qualifying charges or political moves capable of triggering detention within the short timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$548,061วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution and arrest except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, remain suspended during his term, with trials postponed by the Seoul High Court. Recent developments, such as police dismissal of related complaints and legislative discussions on indictment handling, have not produced active warrants or proceedings that could override immunity. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no arrest before 2027 reflects these structural barriers and the absence of qualifying charges or political moves capable of triggering detention within the short timeframe.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$548,061วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...As South Korea’s sitting president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung benefits from constitutional immunity under Article 84, shielding him from criminal prosecution and arrest except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple pre-presidency cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, remain suspended during his term, with trials postponed by the Seoul High Court. Recent developments, such as police dismissal of related complaints and legislative discussions on indictment handling, have not produced active warrants or proceedings that could override immunity. Trader consensus at 92.5% for no arrest before 2027 reflects these structural barriers and the absence of qualifying charges or political moves capable of triggering detention within the short timeframe.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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