Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and large rural geography spanning more than half the state. Mann secured renomination with 81% of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements as a four-term representative focused on agriculture and rural issues. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64%, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-01 House Election Winner
KS-01 House Election Winner
$18,073 ปริมาณ
$18,073 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
6%
$18,073 ปริมาณ
$18,073 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Tracey Mann (R)
$6,237 ปริมาณ
94%
Lauren Reinhold (D)
$11,837 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and large rural geography spanning more than half the state. Mann secured renomination with 81% of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements as a four-term representative focused on agriculture and rural issues. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64%, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,073วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and large rural geography spanning more than half the state. Mann secured renomination with 81% of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements as a four-term representative focused on agriculture and rural issues. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64%, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,073วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding position in the Kansas 1st Congressional District race due to the district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 Partisan Voter Index and large rural geography spanning more than half the state. Mann secured renomination with 81% of the primary vote on August 4, 2026, and benefits from substantial fundraising and endorsements as a four-term representative focused on agriculture and rural issues. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold, who won her primary with 64%, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย