The Israeli Supreme Court’s unanimous October 2 ruling overturned the Central Elections Committee’s September 23 disqualification of the Joint List, restoring the Arab-majority alliance of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad to the October 27 ballot for the 26th Knesset. The panel found that petitions from Likud and other right-wing parties failed to meet the stringent evidentiary standards under Basic Law: The Knesset for barring lists on grounds of supporting armed struggle or rejecting Israel’s Jewish and democratic character. This decision follows the court’s consistent historical approach of setting a high bar for disqualifications and directly explains traders’ 100% consensus on “No,” as the lists now face no effective legal barrier to running. Remaining scenarios that could alter the outcome, such as unforeseen procedural challenges or internal list fragmentation before election day, face narrow windows and low probability given the timing and finality of the ruling.
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