Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership have fueled speculation around potential power shifts following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the appointment of his son Mojtaba as successor. Hardline groups, including the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a "soft coup" by sidelining the new supreme leader—who has remained largely absent from public view—elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing a U.S. truce, and diminishing parliament's role. These claims intensified around July 2026 during funeral ceremonies and ceasefire talks, with warnings of "velvet coup" maneuvers and threats to officials. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei later highlighted risks of coups or infiltration amid ongoing conflict and economic strain. Trader focus centers on whether these divisions could escalate to an overt military or institutional challenge before any resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran confrontation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIran coup attempt by...?
Iran coup attempt by...?
$2,132,510 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$2,132,510 ปริมาณ
December 31
$91,285 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership have fueled speculation around potential power shifts following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the appointment of his son Mojtaba as successor. Hardline groups, including the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a "soft coup" by sidelining the new supreme leader—who has remained largely absent from public view—elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing a U.S. truce, and diminishing parliament's role. These claims intensified around July 2026 during funeral ceremonies and ceasefire talks, with warnings of "velvet coup" maneuvers and threats to officials. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei later highlighted risks of coups or infiltration amid ongoing conflict and economic strain. Trader focus centers on whether these divisions could escalate to an overt military or institutional challenge before any resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran confrontation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132,510วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership have fueled speculation around potential power shifts following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the appointment of his son Mojtaba as successor. Hardline groups, including the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a "soft coup" by sidelining the new supreme leader—who has remained largely absent from public view—elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing a U.S. truce, and diminishing parliament's role. These claims intensified around July 2026 during funeral ceremonies and ceasefire talks, with warnings of "velvet coup" maneuvers and threats to officials. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei later highlighted risks of coups or infiltration amid ongoing conflict and economic strain. Trader focus centers on whether these divisions could escalate to an overt military or institutional challenge before any resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran confrontation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,132,510วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Internal factional tensions within Iran's leadership have fueled speculation around potential power shifts following the February 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike that killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the appointment of his son Mojtaba as successor. Hardline groups, including the Paydari Front, have publicly accused President Masoud Pezeshkian, negotiator Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi of a "soft coup" by sidelining the new supreme leader—who has remained largely absent from public view—elevating the Supreme National Security Council, pursuing a U.S. truce, and diminishing parliament's role. These claims intensified around July 2026 during funeral ceremonies and ceasefire talks, with warnings of "velvet coup" maneuvers and threats to officials. Judiciary Chief Gholamhossein Mohseni-Ejei later highlighted risks of coups or infiltration amid ongoing conflict and economic strain. Trader focus centers on whether these divisions could escalate to an overt military or institutional challenge before any resolution of the broader U.S.-Iran confrontation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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