Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$48,209 ปริมาณ
$48,209 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Russ Fulcher (R)
95%
Kaylee Peterson (D)
4%
$48,209 ปริมาณ
$48,209 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Russ Fulcher (R)
$32,566 ปริมาณ
95%
Kaylee Peterson (D)
$15,643 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,209วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,209วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russ Fulcher holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 1st congressional district race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in his 71% victory in 2024 and primary win of 78% in May 2026. Recent July polling shows him leading Democratic nominee Kaylee Peterson by double-digit margins, aligning with Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Peterson, who previously challenged Fulcher in 2022 and 2024, secured her nomination with 87% but faces structural headwinds in a district covering the Idaho Panhandle and western Boise area. An independent and Constitution Party candidate further split the remaining vote. Trader consensus at 95% for Fulcher reflects these fundamentals, though late national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen events could still narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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