Cheng Chao-fang leads trader consensus in the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 61.5% implied probability ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 39%, with all other candidates at negligible levels. The DPP nominee, Zhubei mayor nominated in June 2026 after direct party recruitment, benefits from strong urban support in the county’s largest city and a recent September poll showing him ahead 35-29%. Hsu secured her nomination via a March primary but faces headwinds from a collapsed local KMT-TPP alliance over the Zhubei mayoral contest, limiting opposition coordination. The November 28 election features a de facto two-candidate contest, where Cheng’s edge in educated and Zhubei voters contrasts with Hsu’s broader rural base, leaving room for late shifts in turnout or undecided voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCheng Chao-fang 62%
Hsu Hsin-ying 38%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
$14,108 ปริมาณ
$14,108 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Cheng Chao-fang
62%
Hsu Hsin-ying
38%
Lin Szu-ming
<1%
Chen Chien-hsien
<1%
Cheng Chao-fang 62%
Hsu Hsin-ying 38%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
$14,108 ปริมาณ
$14,108 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2027
Cheng Chao-fang
$7,341 ปริมาณ
62%
Hsu Hsin-ying
$5,580 ปริมาณ
38%
Lin Szu-ming
$1,073 ปริมาณ
<1%
Chen Chien-hsien
$757 ปริมาณ
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads trader consensus in the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 61.5% implied probability ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 39%, with all other candidates at negligible levels. The DPP nominee, Zhubei mayor nominated in June 2026 after direct party recruitment, benefits from strong urban support in the county’s largest city and a recent September poll showing him ahead 35-29%. Hsu secured her nomination via a March primary but faces headwinds from a collapsed local KMT-TPP alliance over the Zhubei mayoral contest, limiting opposition coordination. The November 28 election features a de facto two-candidate contest, where Cheng’s edge in educated and Zhubei voters contrasts with Hsu’s broader rural base, leaving room for late shifts in turnout or undecided voters.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,108วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Cheng Chao-fang leads trader consensus in the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 61.5% implied probability ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 39%, with all other candidates at negligible levels. The DPP nominee, Zhubei mayor nominated in June 2026 after direct party recruitment, benefits from strong urban support in the county’s largest city and a recent September poll showing him ahead 35-29%. Hsu secured her nomination via a March primary but faces headwinds from a collapsed local KMT-TPP alliance over the Zhubei mayoral contest, limiting opposition coordination. The November 28 election features a de facto two-candidate contest, where Cheng’s edge in educated and Zhubei voters contrasts with Hsu’s broader rural base, leaving room for late shifts in turnout or undecided voters.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,108วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Cheng Chao-fang leads trader consensus in the Hsinchu County magistrate race at 61.5% implied probability ahead of KMT nominee Hsu Hsin-ying at 39%, with all other candidates at negligible levels. The DPP nominee, Zhubei mayor nominated in June 2026 after direct party recruitment, benefits from strong urban support in the county’s largest city and a recent September poll showing him ahead 35-29%. Hsu secured her nomination via a March primary but faces headwinds from a collapsed local KMT-TPP alliance over the Zhubei mayoral contest, limiting opposition coordination. The November 28 election features a de facto two-candidate contest, where Cheng’s edge in educated and Zhubei voters contrasts with Hsu’s broader rural base, leaving room for late shifts in turnout or undecided voters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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