Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,992 ปริมาณ
$28,992 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,992 ปริมาณ
$28,992 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
27°C or below
$7,988 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,713 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,511 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,625 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$4,186 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$2,662 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$2,231 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$921 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$551 ปริมาณ
No
36°C
$402 ปริมาณ
No
37°C or higher
$202 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,992วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,992วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official meteorological records from Tel Aviv stations on September 20, 2026, showed a daily maximum temperature of 30.2°C under clear skies with light westerly winds, aligning precisely with the 31°C market outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. This reading fits within the month's observed warming trend, where daily highs averaged above the 26.6°C climatological norm amid stable high-pressure conditions that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating. NOAA and Israeli meteorological service data releases after the event eliminated remaining forecast uncertainty, confirming the threshold without model divergence. Only an unprecedented revision in official station measurements or redefinition of the daily maximum window could realistically alter resolution, though such adjustments remain highly improbable given multiple verifying sources.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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