Recent forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen's subtropical conditions project a daily maximum of 31–33°C on September 25 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and low precipitation odds below 15%. In the region's late-September climatology, typical highs average near 31°C with high humidity and moderate solar insolation; current stability without strong frontal systems or typhoon influence keeps values anchored in this narrow band. Updated short-range runs show limited model spread, with peak temperatures most likely during afternoon hours when surface heating peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41% implied probability for 32°C and 25.5% for 33°C, aligns with these ensemble outputs while acknowledging minor upside risk if cloud cover stays minimal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 25?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 25?
32°C 40%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
34°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
22%
32°C
40%
33°C
23%
34°C
6%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 23%
31°C 22%
34°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$230 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$116 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$279 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$673 ปริมาณ
22%
32°C
$544 ปริมาณ
40%
33°C
$2,183 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C
$234 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$215 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$31 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$278 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen's subtropical conditions project a daily maximum of 31–33°C on September 25 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and low precipitation odds below 15%. In the region's late-September climatology, typical highs average near 31°C with high humidity and moderate solar insolation; current stability without strong frontal systems or typhoon influence keeps values anchored in this narrow band. Updated short-range runs show limited model spread, with peak temperatures most likely during afternoon hours when surface heating peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41% implied probability for 32°C and 25.5% for 33°C, aligns with these ensemble outputs while acknowledging minor upside risk if cloud cover stays minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,783วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen's subtropical conditions project a daily maximum of 31–33°C on September 25 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and low precipitation odds below 15%. In the region's late-September climatology, typical highs average near 31°C with high humidity and moderate solar insolation; current stability without strong frontal systems or typhoon influence keeps values anchored in this narrow band. Updated short-range runs show limited model spread, with peak temperatures most likely during afternoon hours when surface heating peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41% implied probability for 32°C and 25.5% for 33°C, aligns with these ensemble outputs while acknowledging minor upside risk if cloud cover stays minimal.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,783วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast models from agencies tracking Shenzhen's subtropical conditions project a daily maximum of 31–33°C on September 25 under mostly sunny skies, light easterly flow, and low precipitation odds below 15%. In the region's late-September climatology, typical highs average near 31°C with high humidity and moderate solar insolation; current stability without strong frontal systems or typhoon influence keeps values anchored in this narrow band. Updated short-range runs show limited model spread, with peak temperatures most likely during afternoon hours when surface heating peaks. Trader consensus, reflected in the 41% implied probability for 32°C and 25.5% for 33°C, aligns with these ensemble outputs while acknowledging minor upside risk if cloud cover stays minimal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย