Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from sources like the German Weather Service indicate Munich reached a daily maximum of 26°C on September 28 under predominantly clear skies, light easterly winds, and low humidity, aligning precisely with the historical record high for the date. This outcome reflects above-average late-September warmth driven by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 18°C. With the day now concluded across official monitoring stations, trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 26°C rests on verified temperature readings rather than projections. Minor revisions remain possible only if post-processing adjustments alter the official peak, though such changes are uncommon at this stage.
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