**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime high of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, with the most likely peak near 25°C.** This aligns with the market's strong 77.5% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 24°C (14%) and 26°C (8.5%). Southerly winds of 2–10 m/s are advecting warmer air into the region under light cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Surface pressure around 745–746 mmHg and dew points supporting moderate humidity further favor efficient warming to the mid-20s. These conditions represent a notable warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological average high of roughly 17–18°C, consistent with an Indian summer pattern noted by local meteorologists. Model consensus and recent observational trends show little disagreement on the upper end of the range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the exact maximum between 24–26°C. No major shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the 25°C outcome as the resolution threshold approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?
25°C 78%
24°C 16%
26°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
ใหม่
$12,846 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,846 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
78%
26°C
9%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 78%
24°C 16%
26°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
ใหม่
$12,846 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,846 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$607 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$393 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,613 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$2,541 ปริมาณ
16%
25°C
$3,210 ปริมาณ
78%
26°C
$1,984 ปริมาณ
9%
27°C
$983 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime high of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, with the most likely peak near 25°C.** This aligns with the market's strong 77.5% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 24°C (14%) and 26°C (8.5%).
Southerly winds of 2–10 m/s are advecting warmer air into the region under light cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Surface pressure around 745–746 mmHg and dew points supporting moderate humidity further favor efficient warming to the mid-20s. These conditions represent a notable warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological average high of roughly 17–18°C, consistent with an Indian summer pattern noted by local meteorologists.
Model consensus and recent observational trends show little disagreement on the upper end of the range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the exact maximum between 24–26°C. No major shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the 25°C outcome as the resolution threshold approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,846วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime high of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, with the most likely peak near 25°C.** This aligns with the market's strong 77.5% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 24°C (14%) and 26°C (8.5%).
Southerly winds of 2–10 m/s are advecting warmer air into the region under light cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Surface pressure around 745–746 mmHg and dew points supporting moderate humidity further favor efficient warming to the mid-20s. These conditions represent a notable warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological average high of roughly 17–18°C, consistent with an Indian summer pattern noted by local meteorologists.
Model consensus and recent observational trends show little disagreement on the upper end of the range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the exact maximum between 24–26°C. No major shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the 25°C outcome as the resolution threshold approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,846วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and multiple numerical models indicate a daytime high of 24–26°C for Moscow on September 10, 2026, with the most likely peak near 25°C.** This aligns with the market's strong 77.5% implied probability for 25°C, followed by 24°C (14%) and 26°C (8.5%). Southerly winds of 2–10 m/s are advecting warmer air into the region under light cloud cover and no precipitation, allowing strong daytime solar heating. Surface pressure around 745–746 mmHg and dew points supporting moderate humidity further favor efficient warming to the mid-20s. These conditions represent a notable warm anomaly relative to the early-September climatological average high of roughly 17–18°C, consistent with an Indian summer pattern noted by local meteorologists. Model consensus and recent observational trends show little disagreement on the upper end of the range, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind speed could nudge the exact maximum between 24–26°C. No major shifts in guidance have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping trader sentiment anchored to the 25°C outcome as the resolution threshold approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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