Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 10?
30°C 75%
31°C 20%
32°C 4%
29°C <1%
ใหม่
$23,210 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,210 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
75%
31°C
20%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 75%
31°C 20%
32°C 4%
29°C <1%
ใหม่
$23,210 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,210 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$566 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$547 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$487 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,595 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,928 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$5,419 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$1,583 ปริมาณ
75%
31°C
$3,690 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$2,344 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$708 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$345 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,210วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,210วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and the southwest monsoon (Habagat) are the dominant factors capping Manila’s daytime high near 30 °C on 10 September 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 50.5 % implied probability. Official forecasts from PAGASA and international models show maximum temperatures of 29–31 °C amid high humidity and frequent thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation. Background El Niño conditions are producing slightly warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures, yet the active monsoon flow and thick cloud decks are overriding this warming for today. With resolution dependent on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Manila station, traders are weighting the narrow 29–30 °C band most heavily while assigning low odds to outliers above 31 °C or below 29 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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