Official meteorological observations from Jeddah stations, including King Abdulaziz International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 36°C on October 3 under clear skies, light to moderate southwesterly winds, and typical October humidity levels near 40-60%. This aligns with model consensus and recent days' readings of 95-97°F (35-36°C), exceeding the long-term average high of about 34°C while remaining within historical October extremes. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 36°C reflects these verified surface measurements rather than forecasts. A lower outcome would require official resolution criteria to exclude peak readings or apply different rounding thresholds, though current data make such revisions unlikely.