Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$200B-$250B 96%
$350B-$400B 96%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
-
$150B-$200B
-
$200B-$250B
96%
$250B-$300B
95%
$300B-$350B
95%
$350B-$400B
96%
$400B-$450B
-
$450B+
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
22%
$200B-$250B 96%
$350B-$400B 96%
$250B-$300B 95%
$300B-$350B 95%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2027
<$150B
$18 ปริมาณ
-
$150B-$200B
$18 ปริมาณ
-
$200B-$250B
$18 ปริมาณ
96%
$250B-$300B
$18 ปริมาณ
95%
$300B-$350B
$18 ปริมาณ
95%
$350B-$400B
$18 ปริมาณ
96%
$400B-$450B
$18 ปริมาณ
-
$450B+
$18 ปริมาณ
-
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$272 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$416วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$416วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Databricks’ accelerating revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surpassing $7 billion and growth exceeding 80% year-over-year as of mid-2026, underpins trader expectations for an IPO closing market capitalization in the $250–400 billion range. The company’s August $5 billion round at a $190 billion valuation—up 42% from February—reflects robust enterprise adoption of its Lakehouse platform and AI agents, alongside recent cybersecurity expansion via the Panther Labs acquisition. CEO Ali Ghodsi has signaled a 2027 listing to avoid the crowded 2026 IPO calendar, leaving the no-IPO-by-end-2027 outcome at 22% implied probability. Closely matched probabilities across mid-range brackets highlight uncertainty around timing, final share pricing relative to private benchmarks, and broader market sentiment for AI infrastructure names trading near 25–30x revenue.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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