Die Linke has surged in Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election from 12.2% in 2023 to projected shares near 25%, driven by voter priorities on housing costs and rents, strong mobilization in eastern districts, and the profile of top candidate Elif Eralp. Recent polls from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA consistently placed the party ahead of the CDU and other competitors in the weeks before the vote, reflecting shifts in support away from the governing coalition and toward the opposition on affordability issues. Exit polls and early projections confirm a result well above 23%, aligning with trader consensus. Late adjustments in final tallies, turnout variations in specific districts, or unexpected coalition signals could still influence exact figures, though margins make major reversals unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว23%+ 99.4%
17-20% <1%
20-23% <1%
<17% <1%
$95,164 ปริมาณ
$95,164 ปริมาณ
<17%
<1%
17-20%
<1%
20-23%
<1%
23%+
99%
23%+ 99.4%
17-20% <1%
20-23% <1%
<17% <1%
$95,164 ปริมาณ
$95,164 ปริมาณ
<17%
<1%
17-20%
<1%
20-23%
<1%
23%+
99%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Die Linke has surged in Berlin's September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election from 12.2% in 2023 to projected shares near 25%, driven by voter priorities on housing costs and rents, strong mobilization in eastern districts, and the profile of top candidate Elif Eralp. Recent polls from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA consistently placed the party ahead of the CDU and other competitors in the weeks before the vote, reflecting shifts in support away from the governing coalition and toward the opposition on affordability issues. Exit polls and early projections confirm a result well above 23%, aligning with trader consensus. Late adjustments in final tallies, turnout variations in specific districts, or unexpected coalition signals could still influence exact figures, though margins make major reversals unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย