The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2026 Midterms: House Turnout
2026 Midterms: House Turnout
125-130m 23%
115-120m 21%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 16%
$28,179 ปริมาณ
$28,179 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
1%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
7%
110-115m
16%
115-120m
21%
120-125m
19%
125-130m
23%
130m+
5%
125-130m 23%
115-120m 21%
120-125m 19%
110-115m 16%
$28,179 ปริมาณ
$28,179 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<85m
$603 ปริมาณ
1%
85-90m
$609 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-95m
$1,723 ปริมาณ
1%
95-100m
$380 ปริมาณ
3%
100-105m
$1,195 ปริมาณ
6%
105-110m
$931 ปริมาณ
7%
110-115m
$4,475 ปริมาณ
16%
115-120m
$4,662 ปริมาณ
21%
120-125m
$8,991 ปริมาณ
19%
125-130m
$3,301 ปริมาณ
23%
130m+
$1,310 ปริมาณ
5%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,179วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,179วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested battle for House control in the November 2026 midterms, viewed as a referendum on the Trump administration amid a Democratic generic ballot advantage of roughly six points, underpins trader expectations for turnout in the 115-130 million range. Historical midterm participation has typically fallen between 100-115 million votes without a presidential race, yet elevated engagement stems from nationalized races, Democratic overperformance in recent specials and primaries, and Republican efforts to mobilize low-propensity voters. Factors such as economic conditions, inflation trends, and foreign policy developments could widen or narrow participation if they shift enthusiasm gaps or base mobilization before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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