Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Voter surveys highlight broad dissatisfaction with cost-of-living trends, gasoline prices tied to the war, and recent tariff actions, which have weighed on independent and even some Republican support. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and The New York Times show little movement in the past week, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability on the 38.0–38.4 range. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate lead-up to the September 11 measurement date, leaving the trader consensus aligned with the steady, low-40s ceiling observed in tracking polls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено38,0–38,4 44%
38,5–38,9 30%
37,5–37,9 10%
39,0–39,4 10%
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
10%
38,0–38,4
44%
38,5–38,9
30%
39,0–39,4
10%
39,5+
1%
38,0–38,4 44%
38,5–38,9 30%
37,5–37,9 10%
39,0–39,4 10%
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
10%
38,0–38,4
44%
38,5–38,9
30%
39,0–39,4
10%
39,5+
1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s as of early September 2026, with averages near 37–39 percent amid sustained economic discontent and the ongoing Iran conflict. Voter surveys highlight broad dissatisfaction with cost-of-living trends, gasoline prices tied to the war, and recent tariff actions, which have weighed on independent and even some Republican support. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and The New York Times show little movement in the past week, consistent with the market’s heaviest probability on the 38.0–38.4 range. No major new catalysts have emerged in the immediate lead-up to the September 11 measurement date, leaving the trader consensus aligned with the steady, low-40s ceiling observed in tracking polls.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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