Democrats hold a narrow edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where recent polling shows tight margins and Democratic candidates leading or competitive in most surveys. Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against Mike Collins, Abdul El-Sayed contests the open Michigan seat, Roy Cooper seeks the open North Carolina seat, and Troy Jackson challenges Susan Collins in Maine. A Democratic-leaning generic ballot, low presidential approval ratings, and strong fundraising in these battlegrounds support trader consensus around 58 percent for sweeping all four. However, Republican recruitment in open seats, turnout dynamics in Trump-won states, and historical midterm volatility keep outcomes uncertain through November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудут ли демократы побеждать во всех «основных четырех» сенатских гонках?
Будут ли демократы побеждать во всех «основных четырех» сенатских гонках?
Да
58% вероятность
$22,574 Объем
$22,574 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
58% вероятность
$22,574 Объем
$22,574 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a narrow edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where recent polling shows tight margins and Democratic candidates leading or competitive in most surveys. Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against Mike Collins, Abdul El-Sayed contests the open Michigan seat, Roy Cooper seeks the open North Carolina seat, and Troy Jackson challenges Susan Collins in Maine. A Democratic-leaning generic ballot, low presidential approval ratings, and strong fundraising in these battlegrounds support trader consensus around 58 percent for sweeping all four. However, Republican recruitment in open seats, turnout dynamics in Trump-won states, and historical midterm volatility keep outcomes uncertain through November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Объем
$22,574Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Democrats hold a narrow edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where recent polling shows tight margins and Democratic candidates leading or competitive in most surveys. Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against Mike Collins, Abdul El-Sayed contests the open Michigan seat, Roy Cooper seeks the open North Carolina seat, and Troy Jackson challenges Susan Collins in Maine. A Democratic-leaning generic ballot, low presidential approval ratings, and strong fundraising in these battlegrounds support trader consensus around 58 percent for sweeping all four. However, Republican recruitment in open seats, turnout dynamics in Trump-won states, and historical midterm volatility keep outcomes uncertain through November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
Объем
$22,574Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Democrats hold a narrow edge in the core four Senate contests—Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine—where recent polling shows tight margins and Democratic candidates leading or competitive in most surveys. Jon Ossoff defends Georgia against Mike Collins, Abdul El-Sayed contests the open Michigan seat, Roy Cooper seeks the open North Carolina seat, and Troy Jackson challenges Susan Collins in Maine. A Democratic-leaning generic ballot, low presidential approval ratings, and strong fundraising in these battlegrounds support trader consensus around 58 percent for sweeping all four. However, Republican recruitment in open seats, turnout dynamics in Trump-won states, and historical midterm volatility keep outcomes uncertain through November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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