Scott Fitzgerald’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 by roughly 30 points and faces limited opposition from Democrat Andrew Beck, a first-time candidate who won an uncontested primary in August 2026 but trails significantly in fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. A substantial national Democratic wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Republican turnout would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
WI-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$59,331 Объем
$59,331 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Скотт Фицджеральд (Р)
96%
Эндрю Бек (Д)
4%
$59,331 Объем
$59,331 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Скотт Фицджеральд (Р)
$32,629 Объем
96%
Эндрю Бек (Д)
$26,702 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Fitzgerald’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 by roughly 30 points and faces limited opposition from Democrat Andrew Beck, a first-time candidate who won an uncontested primary in August 2026 but trails significantly in fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. A substantial national Democratic wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Republican turnout would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$59,331Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Scott Fitzgerald’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 by roughly 30 points and faces limited opposition from Democrat Andrew Beck, a first-time candidate who won an uncontested primary in August 2026 but trails significantly in fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. A substantial national Democratic wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Republican turnout would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$59,331Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Scott Fitzgerald’s commanding position as the Republican incumbent in Wisconsin’s 5th congressional district stems from the area’s consistent Republican tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of R+11 and Donald Trump’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. Fitzgerald secured reelection in 2024 by roughly 30 points and faces limited opposition from Democrat Andrew Beck, a first-time candidate who won an uncontested primary in August 2026 but trails significantly in fundraising. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the current trader consensus. A substantial national Democratic wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually low Republican turnout would be required to narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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