The September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election delivered AfD 38.2 percent and 32 seats as the strongest party, followed by the SPD on 35.5 percent and 29 seats, with the Left and Greens each clearing the threshold at roughly 6.5 percent and 5.7 percent for five seats apiece. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition lost its majority, while the CDU and BSW fell below five percent and exited the parliament. Other parties maintain a firm firewall against AfD participation, leaving a red-red-green alliance of SPD, Left, and Greens as the only combination holding the 36 seats needed for a majority. Coalition negotiations are now underway, with the Greens already signaling openness to joining. Trader focus centers on whether these three parties can swiftly agree on policy and portfolios before any alternative configurations emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$11,141 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Зелёные
95%
Левая партия
95%
СДПГ
94%
BSW
5%
ХДС
5%
FW
4%
АдГ
4%
СвДП
3%
$11,141 Объем
Зелёные
$903 Объем
95%
Левая партия
$2,887 Объем
95%
СДПГ
$2,999 Объем
94%
BSW
$401 Объем
5%
ХДС
$254 Объем
5%
FW
$751 Объем
4%
АдГ
$1,453 Объем
4%
СвДП
$1,494 Объем
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.The September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election delivered AfD 38.2 percent and 32 seats as the strongest party, followed by the SPD on 35.5 percent and 29 seats, with the Left and Greens each clearing the threshold at roughly 6.5 percent and 5.7 percent for five seats apiece. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition lost its majority, while the CDU and BSW fell below five percent and exited the parliament. Other parties maintain a firm firewall against AfD participation, leaving a red-red-green alliance of SPD, Left, and Greens as the only combination holding the 36 seats needed for a majority. Coalition negotiations are now underway, with the Greens already signaling openness to joining. Trader focus centers on whether these three parties can swiftly agree on policy and portfolios before any alternative configurations emerge.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Объем
$11,141Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.The September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election delivered AfD 38.2 percent and 32 seats as the strongest party, followed by the SPD on 35.5 percent and 29 seats, with the Left and Greens each clearing the threshold at roughly 6.5 percent and 5.7 percent for five seats apiece. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition lost its majority, while the CDU and BSW fell below five percent and exited the parliament. Other parties maintain a firm firewall against AfD participation, leaving a red-red-green alliance of SPD, Left, and Greens as the only combination holding the 36 seats needed for a majority. Coalition negotiations are now underway, with the Greens already signaling openness to joining. Trader focus centers on whether these three parties can swiftly agree on policy and portfolios before any alternative configurations emerge.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government formed after the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern.
Объем
$11,141Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 1:47 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election delivered AfD 38.2 percent and 32 seats as the strongest party, followed by the SPD on 35.5 percent and 29 seats, with the Left and Greens each clearing the threshold at roughly 6.5 percent and 5.7 percent for five seats apiece. The incumbent SPD–Left coalition lost its majority, while the CDU and BSW fell below five percent and exited the parliament. Other parties maintain a firm firewall against AfD participation, leaving a red-red-green alliance of SPD, Left, and Greens as the only combination holding the 36 seats needed for a majority. Coalition negotiations are now underway, with the Greens already signaling openness to joining. Trader focus centers on whether these three parties can swiftly agree on policy and portfolios before any alternative configurations emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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