Recent polls conducted in early September show Die Linke at 21-23 percent, placing it ahead of or level with the CDU in several surveys and well above its 12.2 percent result from the 2023 election. This positioning reflects sustained gains for the party over the summer, driven by voter focus on housing affordability and the visibility of top candidate Elif Eralp. The CDU has continued to lose ground from its prior 28 percent share, while AfD and Greens register lower support. With the September 20 vote one week away, the latest fieldwork from institutes such as Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap has reinforced expectations that Linke will finish in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with the market's emphasis on the 20 percent-plus brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено23%+ 54%
20-23% 40%
17-20% 6%
<17% 3.1%
$65,241 Объем
$65,241 Объем
<17%
3%
17-20%
6%
20-23%
40%
23%+
54%
23%+ 54%
20-23% 40%
17-20% 6%
<17% 3.1%
$65,241 Объем
$65,241 Объем
<17%
3%
17-20%
6%
20-23%
40%
23%+
54%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted in early September show Die Linke at 21-23 percent, placing it ahead of or level with the CDU in several surveys and well above its 12.2 percent result from the 2023 election. This positioning reflects sustained gains for the party over the summer, driven by voter focus on housing affordability and the visibility of top candidate Elif Eralp. The CDU has continued to lose ground from its prior 28 percent share, while AfD and Greens register lower support. With the September 20 vote one week away, the latest fieldwork from institutes such as Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap has reinforced expectations that Linke will finish in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with the market's emphasis on the 20 percent-plus brackets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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