A low-pressure system and associated warm front, combined with high precipitable water values exceeding 2 inches along the I-95 corridor, drove scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on September 12, 2026. National Weather Service observations recorded measurable rainfall in Atlanta (thunderstorms noted) and portions of the Ohio Valley, while Miami saw lower totals amid more variable coverage. Model consensus from the HREF highlighted efficient warm-rain processes and localized heavy bands, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September moisture surges. Official NWS climate summaries and QPF discussions confirm these events as the key drivers behind market-implied probabilities for affected cities, with resolution hinging on station-specific daily totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГде 12 сентября будет дождь?
Где 12 сентября будет дождь?
$4,783 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
Нью-Йорк, штат Нью-Йорк
Нет
Лос-Анджелес, Калифорния
Нет
Чикаго, штат Иллинойс
Нет
Хьюстон, штат Техас
Нет
Даллас, Техас
Нет
Финикс, Аризона
Нет
Филадельфия, Пенсильвания
Нет
Денвер, Колорадо
Нет
Вашингтон, округ Колумбия
Нет
Атланта, штат Джорджия
Да
Майами, Флорида
Нет
Сиэтл, штат Вашингтон
Да
Бостон, штат Массачусетс
Нет
Новый Орлеан, Луизиана
Нет
Сан-Франциско, Калифорния
Нет
$4,783 Объем
Нью-Йорк, штат Нью-Йорк
$384 Объем
Нет
Лос-Анджелес, Калифорния
$189 Объем
Нет
Чикаго, штат Иллинойс
$242 Объем
Нет
Хьюстон, штат Техас
$71 Объем
Нет
Даллас, Техас
$370 Объем
Нет
Финикс, Аризона
$319 Объем
Нет
Филадельфия, Пенсильвания
$275 Объем
Нет
Денвер, Колорадо
$249 Объем
Нет
Вашингтон, округ Колумбия
$109 Объем
Нет
Атланта, штат Джорджия
$517 Объем
Да
Майами, Флорида
$226 Объем
Нет
Сиэтл, штат Вашингтон
$328 Объем
Да
Бостон, штат Массачусетс
$616 Объем
Нет
Новый Орлеан, Луизиана
$269 Объем
Нет
Сан-Франциско, Калифорния
$618 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Los Angeles, CA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KLAX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KLAX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MDW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KIAH: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KIAH, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=IAH.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDFW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDFW, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Denver, CO records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDEN: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDEN, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington, DC records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDCA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDCA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DCA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlanta, GA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KATL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KATL, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=ATL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMIA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMIA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SEA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boston, MA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KBOS: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KBOS, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=BOS.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Orleans, LA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMSY: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMSY, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MSY.This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO.A low-pressure system and associated warm front, combined with high precipitable water values exceeding 2 inches along the I-95 corridor, drove scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on September 12, 2026. National Weather Service observations recorded measurable rainfall in Atlanta (thunderstorms noted) and portions of the Ohio Valley, while Miami saw lower totals amid more variable coverage. Model consensus from the HREF highlighted efficient warm-rain processes and localized heavy bands, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September moisture surges. Official NWS climate summaries and QPF discussions confirm these events as the key drivers behind market-implied probabilities for affected cities, with resolution hinging on station-specific daily totals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 7:09 AM ET
Объем
$4,783Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 7:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Los Angeles, CA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KLAX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KLAX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=LAX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chicago, IL records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMDW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMDW, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MDW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houston, TX records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KIAH: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KIAH, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=IAH.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dallas, TX records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDFW: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDFW, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DFW.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Denver, CO records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDEN: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDEN, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DEN.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Washington, DC records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KDCA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KDCA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=DCA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Atlanta, GA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KATL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KATL, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=ATL.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMIA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMIA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SEA.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Boston, MA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KBOS: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KBOS, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=BOS.This market will resolve to "Yes" if New Orleans, LA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMSY: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMSY, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MSY.This market will resolve to "Yes" if San Francisco, CA records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSFO: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSFO, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SFO.A low-pressure system and associated warm front, combined with high precipitable water values exceeding 2 inches along the I-95 corridor, drove scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on September 12, 2026. National Weather Service observations recorded measurable rainfall in Atlanta (thunderstorms noted) and portions of the Ohio Valley, while Miami saw lower totals amid more variable coverage. Model consensus from the HREF highlighted efficient warm-rain processes and localized heavy bands, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September moisture surges. Official NWS climate summaries and QPF discussions confirm these events as the key drivers behind market-implied probabilities for affected cities, with resolution hinging on station-specific daily totals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York, NY records measurable precipitation on September 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.
A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.
The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.
The observation period is the NWS climate day for KNYC: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.
This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KNYC, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYC.
Объем
$4,783Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 7:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=NYCКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
A low-pressure system and associated warm front, combined with high precipitable water values exceeding 2 inches along the I-95 corridor, drove scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic on September 12, 2026. National Weather Service observations recorded measurable rainfall in Atlanta (thunderstorms noted) and portions of the Ohio Valley, while Miami saw lower totals amid more variable coverage. Model consensus from the HREF highlighted efficient warm-rain processes and localized heavy bands, consistent with climatological patterns for early-September moisture surges. Official NWS climate summaries and QPF discussions confirm these events as the key drivers behind market-implied probabilities for affected cities, with resolution hinging on station-specific daily totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы