Ongoing martial law, extended by Ukraine’s parliament for the twentieth time through 31 October 2026, continues to bar presidential elections under constitutional and electoral law. President Zelenskyy stated on 16 September 2026 that he is prepared to hold a vote immediately but that active hostilities, security risks, voting access for nine million citizens abroad, and the situation in occupied territories make it impossible. A cross-party agreement and working group focus instead on post-war rules, with any first election required no earlier than six months after martial law ends. Trader positioning reflects these structural and wartime constraints, with limited scope for near-term resolution absent a ceasefire or major shift in hostilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWorking group presents draft legislation for post-war elections
December 31, 2026 dips to 9%1%
On March 20, 2026, Ukrainian lawmakers and partners presented outcomes of a working group preparing legislative proposals for organizing elections during a special period or post-war. This indicated technical preparation but no immediate election scheduling, maintaining market skepticism about elections in 2025-26.
Public opinion strongly opposes elections during wartime
December 31, 2026 dips to 10%1%
Surveys from 2023 showed that a majority of Ukrainians opposed holding presidential or parliamentary elections until the war was over, supporting the political stance against elections during martial law and influencing market sentiment.




Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы