US diplomatic engagement has revived prospects for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner meeting Russian and Ukrainian leaders in early September 2026 after prior rounds stalled in February. Both Moscow and Kyiv have signaled readiness to resume negotiations in October, potentially in Abu Dhabi or another venue, following Russia's parliamentary elections. Persistent barriers include Russia's demands for additional Ukrainian territory in Donbas and security guarantees, which Ukraine has rejected as rewards for aggression. Recent Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure, including the Moscow Oil Refinery, underscore ongoing escalation risks, while US proposals aim to address these gaps through phased de-escalation and post-conflict arrangements. Upcoming UN General Assembly meetings and possible leader-level contacts could further shape momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$771,929 Объем
30 сентября
4%
15 октября
25%
31 октября
43%
30 ноября
58%
31 декабря
67%
$771,929 Объем
30 сентября
4%
15 октября
25%
31 октября
43%
30 ноября
58%
31 декабря
67%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...US diplomatic engagement has revived prospects for trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US talks, with envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner meeting Russian and Ukrainian leaders in early September 2026 after prior rounds stalled in February. Both Moscow and Kyiv have signaled readiness to resume negotiations in October, potentially in Abu Dhabi or another venue, following Russia's parliamentary elections. Persistent barriers include Russia's demands for additional Ukrainian territory in Donbas and security guarantees, which Ukraine has rejected as rewards for aggression. Recent Ukrainian long-range strikes on Russian infrastructure, including the Moscow Oil Refinery, underscore ongoing escalation risks, while US proposals aim to address these gaps through phased de-escalation and post-conflict arrangements. Upcoming UN General Assembly meetings and possible leader-level contacts could further shape momentum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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