Martial law in Ukraine, extended repeatedly since 2022 and currently set through October 31, 2026, legally bars presidential, parliamentary, and local elections under the constitution, extending incumbent powers until a successor is sworn in. Parliament has reaffirmed that no national vote should occur during active conflict, with any post-martial-law election requiring at least six months of preparation. Recent anti-corruption probes by agencies such as NABU have targeted officials tied to President Zelenskyy, fueling domestic criticism and isolated calls for a wartime vote from figures like former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, though polls indicate most Ukrainians oppose elections before fighting ends. Ongoing U.S.-mediated diplomacy, energy truce discussions, and periodic martial-law renewals remain the primary variables that could shift timelines for lifting restrictions and scheduling a vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоZelenskyy announces Ukraine preparing for fresh talks with Trump’s envoys amid ongoing conflict
August 31, 2026 dips to 0%2%
President Zelenskyy stated Ukraine was preparing for new talks with U.S. envoys, emphasizing ongoing conflict and security challenges, which maintained uncertainty about election timing and contributed to market price declines.
No official announcement of 2025 election date as martial law continues
August 31, 2026 dips to 0%1%
By late August 2026, no official date for a 2025 presidential election was announced due to ongoing martial law, confirming market expectations that elections would be held later, reflected in the August 31, 2026 outcome price falling to 0%.
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