Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining a near-total blackout from January through late May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and the 2025–2026 Iran war. The shutdown, managed through BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the National Information Network whitelist, lasted approximately 88 days before partial restoration ordered by President Pezeshkian’s cyberspace working group. Connectivity has since remained limited, with persistent blocks on social media, slow speeds, and reduced VPN effectiveness. As of September 2026, reports indicate ongoing development of a Huawei-supported national isolation system intended to enable rapid, indefinite disconnection while prioritizing domestic services. These capabilities, combined with Supreme National Security Council oversight and recurring protest activity, shape trader assessments of future blackout risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$249,028 Объем
30 сент. 2026 г.
30 сентября
1%
31 декабря
14%
$249,028 Объем
30 сентября
$6,892 Объем
1%
31 декабря
$12,686 Объем
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining a near-total blackout from January through late May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and the 2025–2026 Iran war. The shutdown, managed through BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the National Information Network whitelist, lasted approximately 88 days before partial restoration ordered by President Pezeshkian’s cyberspace working group. Connectivity has since remained limited, with persistent blocks on social media, slow speeds, and reduced VPN effectiveness. As of September 2026, reports indicate ongoing development of a Huawei-supported national isolation system intended to enable rapid, indefinite disconnection while prioritizing domestic services. These capabilities, combined with Supreme National Security Council oversight and recurring protest activity, shape trader assessments of future blackout risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$249,028Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining a near-total blackout from January through late May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and the 2025–2026 Iran war. The shutdown, managed through BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the National Information Network whitelist, lasted approximately 88 days before partial restoration ordered by President Pezeshkian’s cyberspace working group. Connectivity has since remained limited, with persistent blocks on social media, slow speeds, and reduced VPN effectiveness. As of September 2026, reports indicate ongoing development of a Huawei-supported national isolation system intended to enable rapid, indefinite disconnection while prioritizing domestic services. These capabilities, combined with Supreme National Security Council oversight and recurring protest activity, shape trader assessments of future blackout risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$249,028Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet restrictions during periods of domestic unrest and external conflict, most recently sustaining a near-total blackout from January through late May 2026 amid widespread protests over economic conditions and the 2025–2026 Iran war. The shutdown, managed through BGP route withdrawals, traffic throttling, and the National Information Network whitelist, lasted approximately 88 days before partial restoration ordered by President Pezeshkian’s cyberspace working group. Connectivity has since remained limited, with persistent blocks on social media, slow speeds, and reduced VPN effectiveness. As of September 2026, reports indicate ongoing development of a Huawei-supported national isolation system intended to enable rapid, indefinite disconnection while prioritizing domestic services. These capabilities, combined with Supreme National Security Council oversight and recurring protest activity, shape trader assessments of future blackout risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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