Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain limited to about 50 total U.S. cases since the first confirmation in a Texas calf on June 3, 2026, with only three active as of mid-September and the vast majority confined to Texas plus isolated New Mexico incidents. USDA APHIS leads containment through sterile fly releases, quarantines, drone surveillance, and infested zone releases, while Texas issued repeated state disaster proclamations; HHS’s 2025 determination enabled FDA emergency use authorizations for animal treatments, but no broader federal national emergency has been declared. CDC maintains that human risk stays low with no locally acquired cases reported. Traders weigh these contained numbers and established sterile insect technique protocols against potential northward spread from Mexico’s roughly 2,000 active cases or any surge ahead of port reopenings. Key upcoming data include USDA surveillance updates and port inspection results that could influence further escalation thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоScrewworm National Emergency declared by...?
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 октября
42%
December 31
46%
$1,880 Объем
31 октября
$13 Объем
42%
December 31
$0 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain limited to about 50 total U.S. cases since the first confirmation in a Texas calf on June 3, 2026, with only three active as of mid-September and the vast majority confined to Texas plus isolated New Mexico incidents. USDA APHIS leads containment through sterile fly releases, quarantines, drone surveillance, and infested zone releases, while Texas issued repeated state disaster proclamations; HHS’s 2025 determination enabled FDA emergency use authorizations for animal treatments, but no broader federal national emergency has been declared. CDC maintains that human risk stays low with no locally acquired cases reported. Traders weigh these contained numbers and established sterile insect technique protocols against potential northward spread from Mexico’s roughly 2,000 active cases or any surge ahead of port reopenings. Key upcoming data include USDA surveillance updates and port inspection results that could influence further escalation thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Объем
$1,880Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain limited to about 50 total U.S. cases since the first confirmation in a Texas calf on June 3, 2026, with only three active as of mid-September and the vast majority confined to Texas plus isolated New Mexico incidents. USDA APHIS leads containment through sterile fly releases, quarantines, drone surveillance, and infested zone releases, while Texas issued repeated state disaster proclamations; HHS’s 2025 determination enabled FDA emergency use authorizations for animal treatments, but no broader federal national emergency has been declared. CDC maintains that human risk stays low with no locally acquired cases reported. Traders weigh these contained numbers and established sterile insect technique protocols against potential northward spread from Mexico’s roughly 2,000 active cases or any surge ahead of port reopenings. Key upcoming data include USDA surveillance updates and port inspection results that could influence further escalation thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,880Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 11:54 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) remain limited to about 50 total U.S. cases since the first confirmation in a Texas calf on June 3, 2026, with only three active as of mid-September and the vast majority confined to Texas plus isolated New Mexico incidents. USDA APHIS leads containment through sterile fly releases, quarantines, drone surveillance, and infested zone releases, while Texas issued repeated state disaster proclamations; HHS’s 2025 determination enabled FDA emergency use authorizations for animal treatments, but no broader federal national emergency has been declared. CDC maintains that human risk stays low with no locally acquired cases reported. Traders weigh these contained numbers and established sterile insect technique protocols against potential northward spread from Mexico’s roughly 2,000 active cases or any surge ahead of port reopenings. Key upcoming data include USDA surveillance updates and port inspection results that could influence further escalation thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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