Ongoing hostilities and the absence of any sustained ceasefire continue to block a Ukrainian peace referendum, as martial law prohibits such votes and the constitution requires secure conditions plus parliamentary or popular approval for territorial matters. Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts in September 2026 have restarted stalled talks without producing a breakthrough or Russian concessions on core demands, while battlefield realities and Ukrainian public resistance to major territorial adjustments further reduce prospects. Traders assign a 97.5% probability against passage before 2027 because a qualifying referendum would demand rapid diplomatic success, a verified multi-month ceasefire, and legislative changes—all unlikely in the remaining months. A sudden trilateral agreement yielding an immediate, durable ceasefire could still shift the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРеферендум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Референдум о мире в Украине прошел до 2027 года?
Да
3% вероятность
$67,474 Объем
$67,474 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
3% вероятность
$67,474 Объем
$67,474 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing hostilities and the absence of any sustained ceasefire continue to block a Ukrainian peace referendum, as martial law prohibits such votes and the constitution requires secure conditions plus parliamentary or popular approval for territorial matters. Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts in September 2026 have restarted stalled talks without producing a breakthrough or Russian concessions on core demands, while battlefield realities and Ukrainian public resistance to major territorial adjustments further reduce prospects. Traders assign a 97.5% probability against passage before 2027 because a qualifying referendum would demand rapid diplomatic success, a verified multi-month ceasefire, and legislative changes—all unlikely in the remaining months. A sudden trilateral agreement yielding an immediate, durable ceasefire could still shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Объем
$67,474Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing hostilities and the absence of any sustained ceasefire continue to block a Ukrainian peace referendum, as martial law prohibits such votes and the constitution requires secure conditions plus parliamentary or popular approval for territorial matters. Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts in September 2026 have restarted stalled talks without producing a breakthrough or Russian concessions on core demands, while battlefield realities and Ukrainian public resistance to major territorial adjustments further reduce prospects. Traders assign a 97.5% probability against passage before 2027 because a qualifying referendum would demand rapid diplomatic success, a verified multi-month ceasefire, and legislative changes—all unlikely in the remaining months. A sudden trilateral agreement yielding an immediate, durable ceasefire could still shift the timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$67,474Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities and the absence of any sustained ceasefire continue to block a Ukrainian peace referendum, as martial law prohibits such votes and the constitution requires secure conditions plus parliamentary or popular approval for territorial matters. Recent U.S.-mediated diplomatic contacts in September 2026 have restarted stalled talks without producing a breakthrough or Russian concessions on core demands, while battlefield realities and Ukrainian public resistance to major territorial adjustments further reduce prospects. Traders assign a 97.5% probability against passage before 2027 because a qualifying referendum would demand rapid diplomatic success, a verified multi-month ceasefire, and legislative changes—all unlikely in the remaining months. A sudden trilateral agreement yielding an immediate, durable ceasefire could still shift the timeline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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