**Primetime’s solid $19.2 million opening weekend, A24’s third-largest ever, sets up a closely contested second frame.** The Robert Pattinson-led true-crime thriller about Chris Hansen opened near the high end of tracking on strong Venice buzz, Gen Z appeal (69% of ticket buyers under 30), and efficient marketing for its modest $15 million budget. A front-loaded pattern and B CinemaScore, however, point to a typical 45-55% drop, landing the film in the 7-11 million range where trader consensus is tightest. Competition from holdovers like Resident Evil and new entries such as Heart of the Beast adds pressure, while positive reviews and Pattinson’s draw could support better word-of-mouth retention. The market reflects these balanced factors, with upcoming chart updates and audience scores as key swing elements.