Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, following the mid-August resignation of independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, McGrath is positioned to appeal to the electorate's majority Indigenous voters on healthcare access and community-led decision making in eastern Arnhem Land. The short campaign timeline favors the organized Labor effort against the sole listed opponent, independent Andrew Blamey. With voting underway ahead of the September 12 poll, trader consensus reflects McGrath's structural advantages in a seat where Labor has not contested recent cycles. Late shifts could still arise from turnout patterns or preference flows in this remote electorate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
96%
Эндрю Блейми
1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
$1,882 Объем
96%
Эндрю Блейми
$851 Объем
1%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, following the mid-August resignation of independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, McGrath is positioned to appeal to the electorate's majority Indigenous voters on healthcare access and community-led decision making in eastern Arnhem Land. The short campaign timeline favors the organized Labor effort against the sole listed opponent, independent Andrew Blamey. With voting underway ahead of the September 12 poll, trader consensus reflects McGrath's structural advantages in a seat where Labor has not contested recent cycles. Late shifts could still arise from turnout patterns or preference flows in this remote electorate.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Объем
$2,733Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, following the mid-August resignation of independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, McGrath is positioned to appeal to the electorate's majority Indigenous voters on healthcare access and community-led decision making in eastern Arnhem Land. The short campaign timeline favors the organized Labor effort against the sole listed opponent, independent Andrew Blamey. With voting underway ahead of the September 12 poll, trader consensus reflects McGrath's structural advantages in a seat where Labor has not contested recent cycles. Late shifts could still arise from turnout patterns or preference flows in this remote electorate.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Объем
$2,733Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding position in the Mulka by-election market due to his preselection as the Territory Labor candidate on August 25, following the mid-August resignation of independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula. As a local Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku, McGrath is positioned to appeal to the electorate's majority Indigenous voters on healthcare access and community-led decision making in eastern Arnhem Land. The short campaign timeline favors the organized Labor effort against the sole listed opponent, independent Andrew Blamey. With voting underway ahead of the September 12 poll, trader consensus reflects McGrath's structural advantages in a seat where Labor has not contested recent cycles. Late shifts could still arise from turnout patterns or preference flows in this remote electorate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы