Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race because the Buffalo-Niagara Falls district carries a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy secured over 65 percent in the 2024 general election, and both major-party primaries in June 2026 were uncontested, leaving the November 3 contest without recent primary-driven momentum shifts. Challenger Dennis Hannon, a first-time Republican candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus prices the outcome accordingly, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-26
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-26
$26,636 Объем
$26,636 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тим Кеннеди (Д)
95%
Деннис Хэннон (Р)
4%
$26,636 Объем
$26,636 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тим Кеннеди (Д)
$14,443 Объем
95%
Деннис Хэннон (Р)
$12,193 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race because the Buffalo-Niagara Falls district carries a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy secured over 65 percent in the 2024 general election, and both major-party primaries in June 2026 were uncontested, leaving the November 3 contest without recent primary-driven momentum shifts. Challenger Dennis Hannon, a first-time Republican candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus prices the outcome accordingly, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$26,636Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race because the Buffalo-Niagara Falls district carries a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy secured over 65 percent in the 2024 general election, and both major-party primaries in June 2026 were uncontested, leaving the November 3 contest without recent primary-driven momentum shifts. Challenger Dennis Hannon, a first-time Republican candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus prices the outcome accordingly, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,636Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tim Kennedy holds a commanding position in the NY-26 House race because the Buffalo-Niagara Falls district carries a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+11 or stronger partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Kennedy secured over 65 percent in the 2024 general election, and both major-party primaries in June 2026 were uncontested, leaving the November 3 contest without recent primary-driven momentum shifts. Challenger Dennis Hannon, a first-time Republican candidate, faces structural headwinds in a seat where Democratic nominees have historically prevailed by wide margins. Trader consensus prices the outcome accordingly, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national partisan wave could still alter the trajectory before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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