Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
96%
Эндрю Блейми
1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Йиварр МакГрат
$1,882 Объем
96%
Эндрю Блейми
$851 Объем
1%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Объем
$2,733Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
Объем
$2,733Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://ntec.nt.gov.au/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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