**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Варшаве 13 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Варшаве 13 сентября?
6°C 100.0%
5°C или ниже <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,992 Объем
$1,992 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
Нет
6°C
Да
7°C
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C или выше
Нет
6°C 100.0%
5°C или ниже <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,992 Объем
$1,992 Объем
13 сент. 2026 г.
5°C или ниже
$255 Объем
Нет
6°C
$397 Объем
Да
7°C
$566 Объем
Нет
8°C
$74 Объем
Нет
9°C
$304 Объем
Нет
10°C
$228 Объем
Нет
11°C
$58 Объем
Нет
12°C
$52 Объем
Нет
13°C
$0 Объем
Нет
14°C
$25 Объем
Нет
15°C или выше
$33 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,992Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,992Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus has converged on a 6°C low for Warsaw on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds exceeding 99% for that exact outcome.** This positioning aligns with official observational data from Polish meteorological stations, which recorded an overnight minimum near 5.6–6°C under clear, calm conditions typical of early autumn radiative cooling. Surface temperatures dropped steadily after sunset as longwave radiation escaped with minimal cloud cover or wind to retain heat, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. Recent model runs and station reports showed little deviation from this trajectory, leaving scant room for warmer or colder extremes. A post-event data revision or use of an alternate reference station could theoretically alter the final recorded value, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary figures are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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