**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high on September 21 reflects real-time observations and short-range model agreement from Chinese meteorological sources.** Actual readings from stations such as Xujiahui reached 29.9°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limited daytime heating. Typical late-September climatology for Shanghai features highs near 28–30°C as subtropical high pressure weakens and cool air advection increases; today’s conditions—moderate humidity around 60–70% and minimal solar insolation—align precisely with this baseline. Ensemble forecasts show little spread around 29°C, with only a slim chance of brief clearing pushing readings to 30°C or a stronger onshore flow keeping them at or below 28°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 21 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 21 сентября?
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
$65,168 Объем
$65,168 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
29°C 100.0%
30°C <1%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
$65,168 Объем
$65,168 Объем
21 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$2,709 Объем
<1%
27°C
$7,343 Объем
<1%
28°C
$15,476 Объем
<1%
29°C
$23,963 Объем
100%
30°C
$9,530 Объем
<1%
31°C
$2,852 Объем
<1%
32°C
$2,175 Объем
<1%
33°C
$348 Объем
<1%
34°C
$191 Объем
<1%
35°C
$291 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$291 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high on September 21 reflects real-time observations and short-range model agreement from Chinese meteorological sources.** Actual readings from stations such as Xujiahui reached 29.9°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limited daytime heating. Typical late-September climatology for Shanghai features highs near 28–30°C as subtropical high pressure weakens and cool air advection increases; today’s conditions—moderate humidity around 60–70% and minimal solar insolation—align precisely with this baseline. Ensemble forecasts show little spread around 29°C, with only a slim chance of brief clearing pushing readings to 30°C or a stronger onshore flow keeping them at or below 28°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$65,168Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high on September 21 reflects real-time observations and short-range model agreement from Chinese meteorological sources.** Actual readings from stations such as Xujiahui reached 29.9°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limited daytime heating. Typical late-September climatology for Shanghai features highs near 28–30°C as subtropical high pressure weakens and cool air advection increases; today’s conditions—moderate humidity around 60–70% and minimal solar insolation—align precisely with this baseline. Ensemble forecasts show little spread around 29°C, with only a slim chance of brief clearing pushing readings to 30°C or a stronger onshore flow keeping them at or below 28°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$65,168Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 29°C high on September 21 reflects real-time observations and short-range model agreement from Chinese meteorological sources.** Actual readings from stations such as Xujiahui reached 29.9°C under mostly cloudy skies with northerly winds of 3–5 m/s that limited daytime heating. Typical late-September climatology for Shanghai features highs near 28–30°C as subtropical high pressure weakens and cool air advection increases; today’s conditions—moderate humidity around 60–70% and minimal solar insolation—align precisely with this baseline. Ensemble forecasts show little spread around 29°C, with only a slim chance of brief clearing pushing readings to 30°C or a stronger onshore flow keeping them at or below 28°C. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum reported by the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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