Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чэнду 22 сентября?
15°C или ниже 95%
25°C или выше 69%
21°C 48%
20°C 34%
15°C или ниже
95%
16°C
33%
17°C
32%
18°C
32%
19°C
32%
20°C
34%
21°C
48%
22°C
34%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C или выше
69%
15°C или ниже 95%
25°C или выше 69%
21°C 48%
20°C 34%
15°C или ниже
95%
16°C
33%
17°C
32%
18°C
32%
19°C
32%
20°C
34%
21°C
48%
22°C
34%
23°C
32%
24°C
32%
25°C или выше
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu on September 22, 2026, from sources including Chinese meteorological platforms and international models indicate overnight lows near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers possible. These conditions stem from seasonal weakening of summer monsoon influences and modest cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures from dropping sharply. Trader consensus favoring 21°C (48%) and 20°C (34%) reflects model agreement on this narrow range, while lower outcomes like 15°C or below (19%) remain discounted absent stronger cold-air advection. Upcoming official updates from regional weather agencies could refine probabilities if precipitation timing or wind patterns shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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