Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd Congressional District, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 open primary and possible December 12 runoff. The district’s strong Democratic lean, encompassing New Orleans and surrounding areas with a D+17 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais consolidated Democratic voters further into the seat while shifting lines elsewhere, and Carter faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrats alongside limited Republican and third-party challengers. A Democratic hold remains the overwhelming expectation unless unforeseen events such as a late scandal or health development alter the race dynamics before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-02
$61,855 Объем
$61,855 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
96%
Республиканская партия
1%
$61,855 Объем
$61,855 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$35,428 Объем
96%
Республиканская партия
$26,426 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd Congressional District, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 open primary and possible December 12 runoff. The district’s strong Democratic lean, encompassing New Orleans and surrounding areas with a D+17 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais consolidated Democratic voters further into the seat while shifting lines elsewhere, and Carter faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrats alongside limited Republican and third-party challengers. A Democratic hold remains the overwhelming expectation unless unforeseen events such as a late scandal or health development alter the race dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$61,855Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd Congressional District, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 open primary and possible December 12 runoff. The district’s strong Democratic lean, encompassing New Orleans and surrounding areas with a D+17 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais consolidated Democratic voters further into the seat while shifting lines elsewhere, and Carter faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrats alongside limited Republican and third-party challengers. A Democratic hold remains the overwhelming expectation unless unforeseen events such as a late scandal or health development alter the race dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$61,855Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2nd Congressional District, where all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 open primary and possible December 12 runoff. The district’s strong Democratic lean, encompassing New Orleans and surrounding areas with a D+17 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Recent redistricting following the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais consolidated Democratic voters further into the seat while shifting lines elsewhere, and Carter faces only modest primary opposition from fellow Democrats alongside limited Republican and third-party challengers. A Democratic hold remains the overwhelming expectation unless unforeseen events such as a late scandal or health development alter the race dynamics before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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