Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛай Жуйлун 70%
Ко Чжи-эн 30.8%
Чан Чин <1%
Су Чжи-цзе <1%
$15,034 Объем
$15,034 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Лай Жуйлун
70%
Ко Чжи-эн
31%
Чан Чин
1%
Су Чжи-цзе
1%
Линь Тай-хуа
<1%
Чиу И-ин
<1%
Лай Жуйлун 70%
Ко Чжи-эн 30.8%
Чан Чин <1%
Су Чжи-цзе <1%
$15,034 Объем
$15,034 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Лай Жуйлун
$6,949 Объем
70%
Ко Чжи-эн
$5,107 Объем
31%
Чан Чин
$1,086 Объем
1%
Су Чжи-цзе
$699 Объем
1%
Линь Тай-хуа
$626 Объем
<1%
Чиу И-ин
$567 Объем
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Объем
$15,034Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$15,034Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lai Jui-lung, the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the November 28, 2026 Kaohsiung mayoral election due to the city’s longstanding DPP base and his primary victory over rivals including Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. Recent polling shows Lai ahead in several telephone surveys, though margins vary and some online samples indicate a tighter contest with Kuomintang candidate Ko Chih-en. Campaign activity has intensified, including Ko’s large Fongshan rally drawing national KMT figures, joint billboard placements by both camps, and policy proposals on infrastructure and events. Minor candidates such as Chang Ching register negligible support. The implied probability favors Lai while leaving room for shifts from undecided voters or late mobilization in this two-party contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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