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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя

Ли Шу-чуань 74%

Су Чяо-хуэй 27%

Хуан Гоцзан <1%

Polymarket

$25,946 Объем

Ли Шу-чуань 74%

Су Чяо-хуэй 27%

Хуан Гоцзан <1%

Polymarket

$25,946 Объем

icon for Ли Шу-чуань

Ли Шу-чуань

$10,071 Объем

74%

icon for Су Чяо-хуэй

Су Чяо-хуэй

$14,587 Объем

27%

icon for Хуан Гоцзан

Хуан Гоцзан

$1,288 Объем

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the November 28 New Taipei mayoral race due to unified KMT-TPP backing after winning their April joint primary over Huang Kuo-chang, combined with support from term-limited incumbent Hou You-yi and Lee's prior roles as Taipei deputy mayor and Executive Yuan secretary-general. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, trails amid a historically competitive city where opposition coordination has narrowed the field, though recent polls show mixed results including some narrowing gaps. Campaign focus has centered on transport links such as cross-river bridges and urban renewal agencies, with registration closing in early September and no major late disruptions reported. Huang's 0.1% pricing reflects his campaign suspension and pledge to support Lee.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$25,946
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the November 28 New Taipei mayoral race due to unified KMT-TPP backing after winning their April joint primary over Huang Kuo-chang, combined with support from term-limited incumbent Hou You-yi and Lee's prior roles as Taipei deputy mayor and Executive Yuan secretary-general. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, trails amid a historically competitive city where opposition coordination has narrowed the field, though recent polls show mixed results including some narrowing gaps. Campaign focus has centered on transport links such as cross-river bridges and urban renewal agencies, with registration closing in early September and no major late disruptions reported. Huang's 0.1% pricing reflects his campaign suspension and pledge to support Lee.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$25,946
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Цзян Ванань следующие выборы мэра Тайбэя?

Выиграет ли Цзян Ванань следующие выборы мэра Тайбэя?

84%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Чжан Шаньчжэн следующие выборы мэра Таоюаня?

Выиграет ли Чжан Шаньчжэн следующие выборы мэра Таоюаня?

89%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Джонни Чианг следующие выборы мэра Тайчжуна?

Выиграет ли Джонни Чианг следующие выборы мэра Тайчжуна?

89%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Ли Шу-чуань» с 74%, за ним следует «Су Чяо-хуэй» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 74¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $25.9K с момента запуска рынка Aug 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя» — «Ли Шу-чуань» с 74%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Су Чяо-хуэй» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Тайбэя» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.