Mark Messmer holds a commanding lead in the IN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southwest and west-central Indiana, where recent presidential results showed double-digit GOP margins. As the incumbent who won an uncontested primary, Messmer benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising of over $1.1 million, and broad institutional support. Democratic nominee Mary Allen, who prevailed in her May primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIN-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IN-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$42,021 Объем
$42,021 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Мессмер (Р)
97%
Мэри Аллен (Д)
3%
$42,021 Объем
$42,021 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Мессмер (Р)
$26,403 Объем
97%
Мэри Аллен (Д)
$15,618 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Messmer holds a commanding lead in the IN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southwest and west-central Indiana, where recent presidential results showed double-digit GOP margins. As the incumbent who won an uncontested primary, Messmer benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising of over $1.1 million, and broad institutional support. Democratic nominee Mary Allen, who prevailed in her May primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$42,021Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Messmer holds a commanding lead in the IN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southwest and west-central Indiana, where recent presidential results showed double-digit GOP margins. As the incumbent who won an uncontested primary, Messmer benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising of over $1.1 million, and broad institutional support. Democratic nominee Mary Allen, who prevailed in her May primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$42,021Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Messmer holds a commanding lead in the IN-08 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt in southwest and west-central Indiana, where recent presidential results showed double-digit GOP margins. As the incumbent who won an uncontested primary, Messmer benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising of over $1.1 million, and broad institutional support. Democratic nominee Mary Allen, who prevailed in her May primary, trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. With the general election on November 3, trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы